Wednesday, June 10, 2015
Dealing with market paradoxes
(From June 1, 2015)
There are few contradicting factors that tell the story about trading and investing in this market. A multi-year bull market is adored, of course, given recent success, but also feared since it has had a good run. Thus, recognizing these points is vital:
• The more the Fed talks about the “strong” possibilities of rate hikes, the more confirmation of economic slowdown.
• The more interest rates remain low, the more folks feel justified taking additional risks by chasing yield.
• The more the volatility index declines, the more unforeseen risk ahead due to complacency.
This is a mind game, after all, where the trickery is plenty and truth discovery requires sharpness and some luck as well.
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