Markets have recovered from mid -June lows as most indices are at or approach their 50 day mva. Appling the 50-day mva as resistance level.
Near-term momentum is becoming overbought
Not a timely entry point to trade long. Would rather trim long positions and favor short trades at these levels.
I was watching from the beta related index as key indicators approaching 50-day mva.-
Custom beta index composed of : OSX HUI, XBD and SOX illustrates a better picture for the markets.
In addition, Mid, Small and emerging market indices share a similar pattern of approaching 50-day mva from June recovery lows.
Risk/Reward: appears to be stuck in the middle: May Highs vs. June lows.
In broader terms adding to long ideas is not timely
Can place short using the 200 day as a targe exit point
Thursday, July 06, 2006
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