Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Banks

Short lived rally! And like the view of selling into strength.
BKX: Daily momentum appears to be extended. Following a 10-12% upside move since Q4 2005, this is not an attractive risk/reward point. At least not favorable odds for a timely entry point.
Watch a key resistance level on the bkx of may highs at 113.73 on May 8. Even a breakout above that level further extended recent rally which started on Oct 2005.
I know one should not fight the fed, but the news appears to be discounted and rather a non-event.Risk: Defensive themes in the markets have been working and on a relative basis banks might not be as a bad on pullbacks

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