Sunday, March 04, 2007

Current unrest accepted. Opportunity for future discovery

The optimist proclaims that we live in the best of all possible worlds; and the pessimist fears this is true.

James Branch Cabell (1879 - 1958), The Silver Stallion, 1926

Last week the following points were addressed.

Semi’s and previously underperforming Technology – Nearing some bottom

Gold: holding above recent trading range

Financial stocks at further risk. Specifically Brokers.

Market waiting for bad news or looking for excuse to sell.

Few of these points materialized especially the broad market theme of looking for excuses to sell. As far as Semi’s are concerned I would begin to distinguish quality names and accumulate “value” names on the way down. Regarding Gold – well not a favorite place and would stay neutral. At the same, time extended momentum names face further downside risk.

Financials continues to see further downside. Although, Let me add that it is hard to find names to short for a sustainable period. Once again this week will highlight two shorts FED and ICE. Please note: ICE details posted this mid-week.

Looking Ahead

Use panic to your advantage – This correction or downside move is going to create buying opportunity. The “Gloom and Doom” story will be in fashion but life goes on.

Panic time buying – I favor tech, non-biotech healthcare and Consumer related themes

Europe and select Asia funds are worth a closer look for a strong second half of 2007.


Charts illustrate the power of facts that are stated in the market.


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